The "Hot Hand"

in #esteem6 years ago

According to Wikipedia "the "hot hand" is the purported phenomenon that a person who experiences a successful outcome with a random event has a greater probability of success in further attempts."

That wasn't the actual case this weekend when @mrsbozz and I drove down to see our nieces play basketball in Ohio. Don't get me wrong, they both played amazing in their respective positions/games. I was so proud to see them hustle on the court and give their 100% in each game.

Their parents have instilled in them a work ethic and respect for the game that is second to none. I think they might have gotten some good juju from @mrsbozz too who was quite the basketball player in her day.

My oldest niece's team won their first game, but lost the second one. A lot of this was due in part to a rule about players only being able to play 5 quarters in a game. Even though the first game was a blow out, the coach lost track and kept my niece in for all four quarters.

This meant she was only available to play one quarter in the second game. Call me biased, but I think she could have made a significant difference in the outcome of that game had she been able to play.

The next day they only had one game so she was free to play all four quarters and they won quite easily. I think her official position is center, so scoring isn't as big of a priority for her as rebounding and playing defense. Hence my comment about the "hot hand".

Additionally, when we left Michigan, it was sunny and there was zero snow on the ground. Saturday in Ohio they ended up getting 5 plus inches of snow and all of our hands were cold as a result!

My youngest niece had a tougher time in her only game on Saturday, but she played amazing and their team only lost by 4 points. It was a very close game that had some very poor officiating if I do say so myself :)

Speaking of a "hot hand", I was lucky enough to pull these cards in one of my daily quests last week. That Sea Genie allowed me to upgrade my other gold foil Sea Genie to a level 5 gf Sea Genie.

I was also pretty excited to get the Phantom Soldier for my Death deck.

Right now most of my progress is being hampered by the fact that my summoners are too low level. I made an effort to resolve that this morning by purchasing some Beta packs before the SP incentive goes away.

No gold foil cards, but I was pretty excited to see a couple of legendaries show up. Those epics are a welcome addition too. I actually didn't get that many summoners and it might have been a smarter move just to purchase what I needed on the marketplace, but there is always that chance you might pull something you can sell for a profit when you buy some Beta packs.

As you can see, pretty common stuff here.

I am kind of excited about that Grumpy Dwarf. I have always kind of considered that card a dark horse that doesn't get enough credit. At higher levels though he has decent health and shield plus the enrage ability. Add to that the new ability they are going to give him (being able to attack from the #2 slot) and I think he is going to be really powerful.

It wasn't really the outcome I was hoping for with the Beta packs, but I am still glad I made the purchase.

As a final thought, this weekend we saw a pretty big shakeup with some delegations being pulled from some favorite dapps on the Steem blockchain. I think it is really important that we remember Steemitinc have been saying all along that these groups need to find a way to support themselves without delegations.

@exyle has been preaching this as well and if you go back and look at his past posts, you will see or hear it covered many times. SteemMonsters has done a good job of creating a model where they aren't dependent on a large delegation to keep operating. Other dapps are going to need to do this as well if they want to remain viable.

Hopefully this delegation pull will be a wake up call to some of the dapp developers that they need to step up their game and have a legitimate roadmap for the future if they want to prosper.

Until next time Steemians!

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I am not sure what I think about the 5 Quarters rule, I gues sit ensures more players get caught time, but i think the coach should be able to ply whoever he wishes from his team without restrictions like that but maybe there are other factors I am not thinking of

It has to do with the rules for high school athletics. I didn't mention that she plays on both the Freshman and JV teams because they didn't have enough players to have two complete teams.

I see that makes sense I guess, he must be very good to play on Both teams :)

My wife played basketball in school. She would always leave 100% on the court. What a great quality. You can have great talent, but if you are not willing to run after the ball it is all for not.

And congrats on the nice cards you acquired in the beta packs!

Thank you!

this was a great read. I love how you so enjoyed your niece's games and even went to go see them play!!

as to the last bit you through in.....I agree.

Thank you!

Yes sir! It became really obvious this weekend that the delegations model isn't really viable. I truly hope that the guys that lost their steemit delegations have a fallback position...

Nice write up of your nieces. I really like that female athletes have the programs they have today. I mean we don't even think about it, but when I was in High School the only competitive sport girls could play was tennis. Several of my classmates were outstanding athletes that didn't have the games to play.

I will note that Gonzaga is one of only 4 Universities that has their men's and women's teams in the top 20. Go Zags. :)

Very true. Even though attendance isn't what it is for the boys games, it was still impressive to see how many people came out to support the girls. This was just freshman and JV too. The varsity game was packed when we left.

If they don't have plans in place I hope they are able to come up with something moving forward.

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Thanks @bozz. Sounded like a great time to see your nieces play B-ball.

Also I think you're right bout Delegations. People and APPs are too dependent on them

Yes, they have so much drive and energy it almost makes me feel young again just watching them!

It's too bad these projects have to suffer a trial by fire after losing their 1m delegations but I think in the long run we will all be better for it.

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Hi, @bozz!

You just got a 4.37% upvote from SteemPlus!
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Congratulations! This post has been chosen as one of the daily Whistle Stops for The STEEM Engine!

You can see your post's place along the track here: The Daily Whistle Stops, Issue 371 (01/15/19)

Ah so you can get gold rewards cards as well as regulars, I wasn't sure. I do use Grumpy Dwarf, he's not bad value for (4).

Yes, I got two gold foil cards from my daily quest rewards today.

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Only 2 cards from the Silver DQ's now, a bit crap.

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