I can't argue with your math, I'm an English teacher :). While I don't buy orbs and just rely on getting them in chests (so my sample size is really small - 20-30 total orbs), I can say, anecdotally, that my normal return is well under $1 per orb. I pulled 1 legendary card total (minotaur warlord) and 3 GF (just got one today, actually). But even when I pull a GF, the total value of that orb is still under $2. The vast majority of my orbs have 4 common and the 1 guaranteed rare card valued around 40 cents total. That's with both potions going on all of those orbs (I only have the potions activated for packs and orbs). I'm sure I just need a larger sample size...or better luck. I opened 180+ Untamed packs and pulled ZERO legendary cards. My average value of each pack was well under $1, too :/
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