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I'm a novice and my opinion doesn't mean much but I tend to agree with your second statement about coins proving their use before raising in such value, however could you expand a lil on why you think the decline has been predictable?

because in the normal manipulated market (stocks and bonds), 3% gain is normal, 10% is amazing.

Now compare that with %1300 rise and tell me that’s not easy to call

I'm still not totally sure I understand admittedly. But I appreciate you trying to explain and.. I'm assuming it has to do with patterns and what has happened in the past and such, it's making more sense to me.. Though I guess I'm a lil slow. Heh.

no no.. you are not slow and never put yourself down. Basically if something is too good to be true, it probably is.