A small likelihood multiplied with time equals always. Think in the long-term. 5+ generations.
In a multiverse sense, yes it does. In reality though, the likelihood of anything will change and can go to zero as the variables involved change.
For example I know a bit about Switzerland, which basically is the role model for how the planet should be organized politically.
I would disagree with this statement at its very core. Switzerland is a nation-state, meaning it is operating on an outdated, inefficient, force & coercion-based system.
Small units of course are very resilient. There is this 150/5000 rule for family/community and if you don't go beyond that, you can have close, functioning social order in the long run.
Exactly. These small communities are the only way to peacefully and effectively organize humans, as that is what we are designed for, and humans need to be emotionally connected to their community in order to function.
A nation-state is a nation-state, and they are all based on force & coercion. Any time there are "taxes", that means someone is being stolen from, and thus not a moral or efficient system.
For most of human history, these monopolistic centers did not exist, and the current trends in culture are all moving back towards the decentralization and communalism that allowed humans to advance to the point that those violent sociopaths even had the possibility of creating monopolies.
Well there's your problem, you're looking at the monopoly game, and the stories it wants people to hear. None of that has anything to do with actual humanity, current technologies, or the consciousness of 99% of the human race. "Politics" is, by its very nature, simply the doings of a small group who want to control others.