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Thank you very much @makeithappen & @christopher-ryan for having a discussion in my post on BTC.
That is what I hope to see more, rather than upvotes. Discussion, I will always upvote 100%.

Most of the time, markets are always forward looking, whichever direction most people think it will go, it would had gone. By the time public determines if it is +ve or -ve. The big boys would be moving the opposite direction.

Example bad news:
BTC takes a further dip. Most people will panic sell.
Big boys will accumulate.

Therefore, by looking at the market direction before the release, we can gauge a rough outcome(:

I think that August 1 will result in a dump regardless of the outcome of the fork. Most investors does not even know what will go on at August 1 and will just take the profit and come back after the dust is settled.

I agree 100% but it will happen fast. I suggest putting stop limit buy orders on Gemini/GDAX for major dips in BTC. I mean the coin aint going away but its value will suffer but wont matter if you can pickit up at $1200