A fair value for Bitcoin is hard to say, as there is already other coins out there that far outweight Bitcoin's utility. If you ask me it has been a hype and therefore influenced by the market for a long time... Still love BTC nonetheless ^.^
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I agree that fair value for BTC is not easy to estimate. I'm not sure how to do it actually.
Well it would have many factors, but the utility (so technology and implementation) should be the top priorities when valueing a currency.