It's quite hard to guess these because crypto is at the edge of technology breakthroughs. Hence the normal trading analysis might not explain the trends sometimes.
But nevertheless it's interesting to see this perspective. Sure makes bitcoin holders happy to play the long game.
Yea I mean it's just based on past patterns with bitcoin itself, surrounding its halving events. Most likely things won't go exactly like this, but they may end up doing something similar.
the technology behind the price does not fit past patterns unlike the stock market, the momentum will be deferred by the adoption you have at that time
What do you mean by this?