Why I don't think Bitcoin will go below 3k in the next three months

in #bitcoin6 years ago (edited)

There is a lot of buzz around bitcoin’s price fall and some are speculating that it could go to 1,000 dollars. Many users have panic sold Bitcoin after the BCH civil war started. Coindesk said today that Bakkt listing of Bitcoin will be delayed. That may have had some influence in the price as well.

BREAKING: In a new notice, ICE Futures U.S., Inc. says it will list the Bakkt Bitcoin (USD) Daily Futures Contract on January 24 of next year. Source

Some people in twitter were complaining that insiders dumped BTC after they realized bakkt won’t add BTC until 24 Janurary of 2019. Whatever is the cause, if Bitcoin has true demand and use, they shouldn't matter. There is no world war going on.

Bitcoin is the first cryptocurrency and it is mainstream in the crypto community. It has always been the number one cryptocurrency among cryptocurrencies. It is used widely and most stores that accept crypto payments accept Bitcoin.

It has high potential for growth and a lot of room for growth. I don’t think its inherent demand will allow it to go below three thousand dollars in the next few months. I won’t comment on what might happen in the far future but I do have hopes that it will be adopted widely and blockchain education will spread worldwide.

Many big companies have invested heavily in crypto. I don’t think all projects they are going to build will die. Overstock is betting fully on cypto’s success. CNBC recently reported:

Overstock plans to sell its decades-old retail business in the next few months to make way for a full-blown bet on blockchain.

The previously announced sale plans could go through as soon as February, the company’s CEO told The Wall Street Journal in a report published Friday. Overstock founder and CEO Patrick Byrne — an ardent believer in the technology that underpins bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies — declined to name any of the potential buyers.

Shares of Overstock surged as much as 26 percent Friday but the stock is down 66 percent this year.

I don’t disagree with Nouriel Roubini that Bitcoin is the most “over-hyped — and least useful — technology in human history.” This is true for now because of some limitations of cryptocurrencies. Crypto wasn’t widely used until 2017. And when it started to get used a lot, its flaws started to come out. One of which is scalability.

If crypto can solve its scalability problems, it will have the power to compete with other methods of electronic fund systems such as VISA. And that will open its door to mass adoption. The above stated reasons are why I don't think Bitcoin will go below 3k in the next few months.

Everything I have stated here are my personal opinion, not financial advice. Please don’t invest assuming these predictions will come true. Things could turn to the opposite and price could fall further as well.

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Solving the double spend problem and trustless transaction was and still is a revolution. That is super-useful. The problem is that Bitcoin is not being USED to its potential and therefore is deemed useless.

I appreciated your perspective on this and agree with you. $3000 BTC maybe. $1000 BTC... I can't see it. People would be selling their organs to buy BTC at that price.

I think Btc might fall a little bit lower than 3000$, based on TA If we take a look at the 4h - not really any bullish momentum at all. Everything points in the direction that we will go lower and make my 5th Wave Ending Diagonal in one move.

We also have a Head and Shoulder formation which point in this direction - more of a continuation pattern. Normally they are more valid in reversals.

I cannot see us go up - if whales see opportunity to kill some short then be it.
you can read it in my blog about it.
any updateed opinion about it?
cheers.

I think the initial hype on crypto currencies are settling down and that’s why you see the price is dropping and somewhat settling as more and more people are having their say in what the price they think bitcoin is really worth. The strength of bitcoin lies on the fact of scarcity and though price can trade in the range for few months but eventually it will go up as more and more underlying technology is accepted by mainstream.

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very likely to happen and immediately rebound back. my gut feeling told me the market will test dump again.