I agree with your analysis. I think it boils down to personal preference. I for one will never invest in a coin that has no backing and seems shady to me. So I stay away regardless of potential profit. I feel its important for me to back the technology and I can earn profits that way too. Like vitalik said himself even with eth the vision has to change from lambos to actually passion for the technology. It is true in sense and that way Lambos will come themselves.
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I'm tending toward the same thought. I have a long term portfolio I will not trade. I spend time on each website of the coin I would potentially trade going forward and if they are vague in what the heck they exist for or I don't like what they are doing, I'll pass regardless of profit potential. There are so many with clever ideas behind them to invest in, I don't need to go after ones that simply have great upside.
agree, but this rise is legit.
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=2671428
So I'd say Haejin's prediction to over 5 bucks is very reasonable.