Future of bitcoin in August

in #bitcoin8 years ago

Bitcoin will be upgraded on August 1st

They want to activate UASF(user activated soft fork

A lot of questions about August 1st

I'll try to explain this and keep it as simple as possible

To be clear, if the UASF activation date is August 1st, then what will happen is as follows:

Oh, let's talk about what uasf us in the first place

UASF stands for User Activated Soft Fork. It’s a mechanism where the activation time of a soft fork occurs on a specified date enforced by full nodes, a concept sometimes referred to as the economic majority.

On the other hand is MASF

MASF stands for Miner Activated Soft Fork. It’s a mechanism by which miners trigger activation of soft forks when a majority signals the readiness to upgrade.

Now, there's BIP 148

BIP148 is a UASF that is designed to cause the existing SegWit MASF deployment to cause activation in all existing SegWit capable node software (which currently is 80% of the network nodes)

How does BIP148 Work? From August 1st, 2017, miners are required to signal readiness for SegWit by creating blocks with the version bit 1. This will cause all SegWit ready nodes, which make up over 80% of the network, to activate and begin enforcement

To be clear, BIP 148 isn't a hard fork

Let me just skip to how this may affect ur bitcoin then

Instead of all this grammar lol

If a majority of miners (by hash power) does not signal support for SegWit on August 1st, but at least some do, Bitcoin's blockchain will split in two.

In that case, there would be two types of Bitcoin tokens

That's 2 different coins

I'll refer to them as "BTC 1" for coins on the soft forked chain, and "BTC 2" for coins on the chain that did not activate the soft fork.

Now

The good news is that each bitcoin would effectively be copied to both chains. If you hold bitcoin right now, you will hold both BTC 1 and BTC 2 after the split

Eg

If you have 1 BTC now, you'll have 1 BTC ONE and 1 BTC TWO

So, 1 BTC each for each blockchain

The bad news is that this coin-split can be messy and risky. And if you're not careful, you could lose funds.

So, how do u make sure u r safe before then?

Before August 1

First off, be aware that a chain-split create a high-risk situation. There is a chance that some sort of cyber-battle will break out between the two camps, perhaps even escalating to the point where bitcoin's exchange rate(s) drops sharply, possibly to zero. Make absolutely sure you are not holding more value in bitcoin than what you are willing to lose.

Change some of ur BTC to USDT

And hold

Or even naira

It might get messy

If you do decide to hold onto your bitcoins, the single most important piece of advice is this: Ensure that you control your own private keys.

If you are storing your bitcoins on an exchange, in a custodial wallet like Luno, Coinbase, Circle or Xapo, or on any other service that holds your private keys for you, you may or may not eventually receive coins on both ends of the chain. In fact, if these kinds of services aren't well-prepared, there could be scenarios where you don't get any coins at all. So far, no exchanges have given any kind of guarantee.

So if you're using any of these kinds of services to store your bitcoins, you need to create your own wallet . Send your bitcoins to one or several Bitcoin addresses in this new wallet. This wallet now holds your private keys.

Converting to alts is also an option

But also very risky

Best bet in my opinion if you don't want naira is USDT

As it stores ur value as is

Only RSK can help bitcoin now

Here's how it works

If you convert $2000 of BTC to USDT, it's gonna remain $2000

No matter what the price of BTC is

The problem here is that we do not know what exchanges like poloniex would do

If you now want to convert back to BTC

I predict a downward trend in BTC from the days leading to August 1

As people panic and hurry to convert their BTC into Fiat

Price is going to tank

All this is just speculation at the moment

Just to be on the safe side to avoid stories that touch

My advice

Only hold BTC worth you can afford to lose

Recommended wallets:

Copay, Mycelium, Coinomi

Basically any wallet that lets u hold ur private keys

Let's fast forward a little

On, and Perhaps (shortly) After, August 1

If a majority of hash power signals support for Segregated Witness on or before August 1st, the protocol upgrade will activate smoothly. In that case, you're fine, even if you didn't prepare at all.

But it's also possible that a majority of hash power will not go along with the BIP 148 UASF on August 1st, in which case the chain could split. If you hold your private keys, you will then have both BTC 1 and BTC 2

Alts are totally unaffected by this

Infact

They'll rise in value significantly if the chain split occurs

If on or after August 1st, BTC 1 chain becomes the chain with most accumulated proof of work, both BIP 148 nodes as well as Legacy nodes would switch to the BTC 1 chain. As such, the Legacy BTC 2 chain should be discarded, resolving the situation. It would have been a temporary split, and you should be fine if you held onto your private keys. You can now continue to use bitcoin as usual.

This is what we are all praying for

So, to Recap ...

  1. Control your private keys.

  2. To be on the safe side, avoid any transactions on and shortly after August 1st. (How "shortly after" depends on what happens.)

  3. If there are still two chains when the dust settles, split your coins into different wallets.

Anything can happen
copied

So, just be safe and this is just an opinion sent to me by a good friend
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Hi! I am a robot. I just upvoted you! I found similar content that readers might be interested in:
https://steemit.com/bitcoin/@owura/bitcoin-will-be-upgraded-on-august-1st-watch-out

I agree that you should definitely convert whatever you are not willing to lose to USD. I predict that even if segwit is activated there will be a dip in price in bitcoin so it would be smart to buy back in with your usd at that time. However, if there is a hard fork and there is 2 bitcoins like you mentioned BTC will take a huge hit and anybody that didn't convert to fiat will be sorry. This was a great post and you really went in depth, the only thing I have a question about is when you said that altcoins will rise in price in one of the scenarios. Do you mind explaining why you believe that?

Hi, I liked the post too. About alt coins, there is a very interesting situation when facing a BTC fork or the fear that a BTC fork could happen; without BTC as "the main reference of value" people are most likely to buy other alt coins instead and increase the capital invested in a different set of tokens, take a look at coincap.io is really cool. See ya. @mleon

Where are you getting this information????