P5Ji7cmQfs5Mj5NWq95ZaQD2PWkQkNPpgq51z161NrrMvfR1EYrd
Hi steemians,
Bitcoin had a rough past couple of months and we've come full cycle now. Last November around dollar 6k where Bitcoin wouldn't stop rising and now here we are in June with Bitcoin near dollar 6k and it won't stop falling. Why does this happen? In short the snowball effect or momentum.
One lesson passed on to me was that while Technology always evolved, human nature does not. When we look at the price of Bitcoin (or any other cryptocurrency), we are peering into the general perception of Bitcoin. we are not looking at a graph based on fundamentals or how the technology has improved (e.g: Bitcoin reached its peak in December/January, when transaction fees averaged dollar 40). With that in mind, what has changed?
Well for one,the catalysts that drove Bitcoin to dollar 20k (e.g: hard fork excitement, futures, Wall Street adoption) have become"old" or nonexistent. When some hedge fund manager says he's bullish on Bitcoin, it's no longer the type of event that gets everyone riled up. when a smaller hard fork occurs, no one cares anymore. And the millionth time that the SEC suggests they don't want to regulate Bitcoin as a security, it probably won't Spark as much interest either.
as price has headed down, people start to think more and more that Bitcoin was fad. keep in mind that many people only invested because they saw how many peoples saw Bitcoin as the"next big thing"or the"biggest innovation since the internet."But now all of a sudden, criticisms from big names like Warren Buffett start to feel like they are a lot more true.Even peoles has called Bitcoin a bubble since close to inception and now that claim seems"scarier"because price action has validated the Idea more.
but doubt is not only coming from within the cryptocurrency industry. stocks have had a difficult time gaining traction in 2018 since the top on January 26th and since then, we have seen sideways trading action. the past week has been difficult due to trade tension with the EU due to Trump's isolation economic policies. Investers are starting to go more risk-of which have sent bond yields downwords as investors flock to safe havens despite the fact that Central banks are trying to move away from low interest rates. This risks-off environment naturally goes against one of the riskiest asset classes out there, cryptocurrencies.
if you look at the viewership of websites dedicated to cryptocurrencies (which you can see on similarweb. Com), you will find the most websites are only at a fraction of where they were before (coindesk in estimated to be getting 25% of its peak monthly visitors). The same is true of all other types of media-back at the peak,was a "requirement" to report on Bitcoin daily. Now it's reported on far less frequently as the interest in no longer there.
for people looking from the outside, Bitcoin really does seem like it was nothing but a fad.And now that there is less bandwagoing, people are more open to saying that perhaps Bitcoin isn't as useful as cryptocurrency enthusiasts made it seem back in the months leading up to December. That makes attracting new money difficult now that Bitcoin has burned many people and "word of mouth" isn't as kind as it used to be.
will Bitcoin make a comeback? Well at the very least, it will almost certainly have a period of astronomical growth again-cycles like this are common in markets governed by perception. It's impossible to say if it will go back to dollar 20k or when the cycle shift will be,And yes, I Still Think Bitcoin is a bubble
Congratulations @sy3d! You received a personal award!
You can view your badges on your Steem Board and compare to others on the Steem Ranking
Vote for @Steemitboard as a witness to get one more award and increased upvotes!