RE: How to day trade Bitcoin ETF like Carnac

There is indeed a delay in the ETF moving up, in fact it usually continues to drop before it “catches up”, so that is key in the strategy - making sure you don’t leave money on the table by opening the long position on the ETF too quickly. The best time I had watching this was when Bitcoin dropped below 5800, mostly because of the obvious - I could afford more ETF shares.

You need a platform like Thinkorswim to monitor the ETF, and you can use the Gemini Bitcoin Index and do it all within Thinkorswim, but GDAX or Binance is better for waiting for the break out due to the fast trades going on being more timely than Gemini or it at least seems to be.

If you have the capital to buy 2500 shares of the ETF about 10 to 20 seconds into the rally on the real time trading, than you can even make $2500 or more in less than a minute. But keeping an $18,000 naked long position open and being greedy is a recipe for disaster. You really have to commit to an acceptable profit before you open the position and sometimes even consider selling at market if it goes up more than a dollar. I could put in a limit order immediately, but if it jumps two dollars in a minute or three than it’s worth the risk of the market order to close the position - I don’t advise a market order every time, but it is more fun closing the position with a physical click of the mouse.

To recap:

Open your equity brokerage tool, enter the number of shares up front, be ready to put in a limit buy price and split the bid in the ass (Put it between the bid and the ask) if you want to max profits, but risk missing out by not buying at the Ask.

Wait for a strong MACD and RSI, and many back to back to back larger trades at the ask (green) in trade history on Binance or GDAX (referred to as Time and Sales on equity trading)

Buy your set number of shares and pull the trigger when you see the ETF drop, as it usually will before it rallies to the upside.

Finally, Discipline, discipline, discipline when it comes to closing the position. Sell all your shares without using All Or None, using a limit order or at market. Note: Make sure you have your brokerage using the best price market maker and not a specific market maker if possible. Some are better than others, when it comes to the bitcoin equity traded fund using Fidelity, they seem to prefer Citadel as the market maker.

Rinse and repeat. But ONLY do this when there is super rapid trading all at the askin the real-time Bitcoin trading exchange. ONLY when you feel the conditions are as perfect as possible, and use free “paper trading” to practice at least 10 times before using real money is a suggestion I’d like to include.

30 to 50% of the time you could have made more money by waiting to close the position, but $2500 in a few seconds or minutes is a lot of money in my book. Yes, waiting a few days could have made you $7500 but that’s not what my observation is about. It’s about conditions being as perfect as possible and committing real money when only when you feel the universe has everything in its proper place as if you were seeing into the future.

With the new rules in place and not having to wait 3 days to clear, this of course only applies if you’re using all of your cash available for training , you can do it every other day, but I wouldn’t advise doing anything like I’ve mentioned unless the conditions are as close to a no brained as possible, meaning high volume, and using either MACD or FFM Short Squeeze, which is a licensed indicator in Thinkorswim. You can use tradingview though, some quants out there have written free Short Squeeze indicators, which basically looks like MACD.

Lastly, I use anywhere between 23 and 60 ticks as the interval for the candle chart

I’m so happy there are people who have enjoyed my article. I hope it makes you money or if you’re going to do paper trading I hope it at least brings you satisfaction of feeling like you had a vision into the future .