- Alice borrows 1 BTC from Bob under contract
- Alice now has 1 BTC asset and promise to pay Bob 1 BTC
- Alice sells 1 BTC to Carol for fiat
- Alice now has fiat and a promise to pay Bob 1 BTC
If Alice is lucky:
- The BTC price crashes
- Alice uses the fiat to buy 1 BTC at a low price
- Alice now has 1 BTC asset, 1 BTC promise to pay Bob, and some leftover fiat
- Alice repays Bob the 1 BTC making good on the contract
- Alice keeps the leftover fiat.
If Alice is unlucky:
- The BTC price soars
- Bob gets concerned about Alice's ability to pay him back his 1 BTC
- Bob 'margin calls' Alice under the terms of the contract
- Alice is forced to buy the 1 BTC at the higher price.
- Alice now has 1 BTC, a promise to pay Bob 1 BTC and less fiat then when she started
- Alice repays Bob the 1 BTC making good on the contract
- Alice is left with less fiat than when she started.
Excellent