I think the imminent lock-in of BIP-91 is driving the price action this evening. As of this post only 5 blocks until lock-in. I think it could go even higher after lock-in.
Track it here: https://www.xbt.eu/
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I see your point and it's a very good point, but most don't follow their investments as closely as we do.. I'm not saying you are wrong by any means ... but I've noticed investors get worried when something "may" change and coinbase among others are going to lockout transactions during the softfork and one thing no one likes is to be locked out of the money the have for any period of time... I imagine it will fall again.. but I hope I'm wrong and people just ride it out.. uncertainty creates fear is the point I was trying to make. Thanks for the response it's very insightful and I hope your right👍🏻