Your theory holds true in a traditional market, but we are moving to a new market and a new era of technology where the same rules dont apply. I believe we will see speeds of mass market adoption quicker then you think. Given the low barrier to entry and low switching costs from coin to coin its only a matter of marketing to change someone from a BTC to
BTC-U. Like the speed of light from the sun everything is moving at light speed ; )
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Maybe, but as i wrote there is always a lazy brick & mortar world and that world changes always slowly. Branding, emotions attached to a coin are also important. Think of the Dogecoin, why people need Dogecoin?. Why not Bitcoin for charity? It is not always technology, has Microsoft the best technology with Office? With a debit card service like TenX for example you accept also fees >1% and have that great advantage to pay with almost every cryptocurrency. The fees are acceptable so long we have this strong growth in value and such convenient service if you think of the pain in the ass with all that Altcoin swapping and storing.
Bitcoin has proven to be the most stable cryptocurrency currently and that is very important for currencies especially for regular people or the majority who expect that 1 Bitcoin today is 1 Bitcoin tomorrow or even more but never less. If Bitcoin find solutions for their urgent problems than they are competitive again and still have the first mover advantage. And yes i think all the other great technologies get their market share with important niche applications which Bitcoin cannot serve. For me it's like Julian Hosp from TenX said we're sailing on a vast ocean with rising sea level and stormy waters from time to time. But it's always rising with Bitcoin and Altcoins together. Look at the a month before many people saw the sinking boat of Bitcoin because Ethereum was on par with regarding to market cap, currently BTC has a superior near 50% again and is not the cutting edge technology today.
We'll see how it turns out. Whatever happens i see a bright future for blockchain, tangle and upcoming technologies in the crypto space.
I see where you are coming from, but you cant even compare Ethereum's and Bitcoin's output added together with a fork and a half
are still 243x slower then Bitshares TPS. Very small amounts of the world economy uses this market. 115billion to date is the highest market cap we have had. Cant you see the goal is to migrate every single person on this planet over to this way of transport of value(money). This is a technology that can utilize every single person who has access to wifi on this planet to create a single cell economy.
The benefits of utilizing a larger amount of our population together in a open no border economy will increase the way of life of anyone who participates. each user generates value, the more users the more value.
Simply put bitcoin cant scale at the rate we need this technology to scale and the demand for blockchain based services will increase. The people will migrate naturally to what will support the healthiest economy, and the most people around the world. Everyone will benefit if we create a free economy on a single decentralized platform that we the users can all benefit off of each other. I stay optimistic the day EOS led by @dan is released and has potential to do unlimited TPS so there is chance at really creating a market that every single person on this planet has access to from where ever they live.
I'm very optimistic for the whole crypto space independent who'll take the lead because it's like looking into a crystal ball just (educated) guessing. Without a doubt from technical standpoint you're right and also how the community in steemit is developing are positives and that makes me feel optimistic. Bitcoin was the forerunner of progress and is still fighting for all the other assets and currencies because they solve problems for the others so they can learn from and improve their technologies even more. I think it's like a huge community with uncount disputes and discussions with the only goal to create progress.. 2 steps back 3 steps forward 2 steps .. and if had the chance to do a time-lapse ten years ahead i think we would see things unbelievable today!
Exciting times ahead steemit friends!