all because of these Mt Gox bast**** selling off millions of dollars worth of BTC on the markets. Anyway, by the time there's not one single BTC to sell, price is gonna surge big time whatsoever.
You post is of great quality, for I too think each of these 3 possibilities have like 33.3% chance to happen...
I think we got some time to stack up more btc before next bull run . Without Mtgox crash , btc might have reached 40k by now .