I would hope the minnow numbers could increase even as some move up to dolphin. It is only about $65 to get from nothing to minnow now and that investment can have some return with increased curation rewards. I have tried to promote this with the @tenkminnows initiative, but we are losing ground. Gaining another 1000 minnows would have a definite impact on Steem, but how can we get there?
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It is troubling because minnows and plankton are essentially new users. New users who are not willing to invest.
That is their choice, but showing some commitment increases your chances of getting some attention. But if you have really good content and can get noticed then you have a chance to do well.
I agree @steevc. It is minimal money for a Plankton to move up to Minnow. With all the Planktons in that category, I find it hard to believe that there aren't a couple thousand people who could afford to move up quickly.