Bearish Breakout
Last analysis we were beginning to see wash trading manipulate the volume. I suggested the manipulators did not know what they were doing and that their manipulation would lead to prices declining lower. We were forming a descending triangle, which was broken to the downside, volume picked up as prices fell lower. This is a massively bearish signal to traders and has apparently caused further dumping of smoke coins, as I had suggested it would in my last analysis.
Anticipating at least another 65% drop
Based on order book analysis I would expect another 65% drop in the price paired with bitshares. There isn't much book support for Smoke until we get down to much lower prices.
Order Books
We can see a large buy wall, but it is a significant distance down from price. We see a small sell wall put, but we have seen these crop up every drop and grow in side without the bulls eating into them hardly at all. This is creating a lot of sell side liquidity that will resist price from moving up as easily the next time around.
Expectations
I expect we will decline to some random point, possibly to the buy wall or somewhere above it. The buy wall should provide a bounce if we are able to decline all the way to it. We may however pick a random point above it to bounce. That may not be the ultimate bottom either, we will have to watch and assess things as they come.
No new wash trades
Since I made mention of wash trading, there hasn't been a wash trade. So the manipulators may read my analysis. That is interesting to me. Another thing I noticed interesting about the chart that I wanted to point out is how this chart would look inverted. I can't invert the chart like I can directly on tradingview.com for some reason, but if you invert the chart, we can see a classic breakout.
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