IBT result: 3 + 1 (dagger) - 1 (stage/class rule) = 3 (FAIL) 
Under FF6 formulas:
2 x 3 (current stage/level) x 3 (system roll) x 3 x 3 x 3 x 3 (Setzer's fixed dice) = 1458 damage.
But the tree still stands... so Setzer throws his dice again.
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Shake shake shake, you roll the 6-sided die.
You rolled a 4.
IBT result: 4 + 1 (dagger) - 1 (stage/class rule) = 4 (PASS)
Under FF6 formulas:
2 x 3 (current stage/level) x 4 (system roll) x 4 x 4 x 4 x 4 (Setzer's fixed dice) = 6144 damage.
Tree terminated.
(There was no indication of any recent wildfires here, but the dead tree looked like it had been killed by one...)