Swine flue killed 250 000 to 500 000 people
Sars was a lot of noise but I think total statistics were about 8000 dead coronovirus hasn't started yet 3000 dead
I think it's got potential for major disruption even if not in itself then definitely due to people panicking and that's enough for it to make sense to have some supplies
I have seen a half empty bottle of sanitizer from Lidl that new cost £0.5 on auction 5 days left 20 something bids about £6 on eBay and that can be considered cheap at the moment here
I think that shows a lot about the state of mind people are
I looked to get a pallet of the stuff and make a quick $$ you simply can't buy a bigger amount at normal price and so far I checked wholesalers in 3 European countries !
A tad worrying I'd say.
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Panicking people scare me more than a virus. Based on what I have read, COVID19 may be more dangerous than the flu for the elderly, but the fatality risk is low for most otherwise-healthy people. The stats are based on deaths from confirmed cases, not a sudden spike in overall mortality rates, and they can't confirm very many cases or do it very fast. This inflates numbers.
True 3000 deaths in China on an overall mortality graph is nothing considering the population but if we were to look at a graph of mortality just in the city of Wuhan would probably be different
At the moment they say about 3% mortality with those dying mainly elderly or with underlying health issues but that doesnt mean much in itself people who are sick now have full acces to hospitals and medicine if the infection rate is high all over the world at the same time... it hasn't started and we are running low on supplies of sanitizers and such a shortage of antybiotics for instance would cause a massive spike in deaths and if shit hits the fan it's not that impossible
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/health/coronavirus-latest-uk-figures-update-a9385326.html?amp
Uk predicts 5% will require hospitalisation
Italy is saying 10% does require hospitalisation
Another important factor swine flue, bird etc didn't mutate further once transmitted to humans coronovirus is thought to have already mutated twice in 3 months
I agree panicking people can make things so much worse by looting stockpiling crimes because of shortages it can turn into a vicious self propeling circle
I'm not really that much of a pessimist just talking possibilities here to be honest I'm not worried at all but then again I live off-grid way away from people.
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