In my opinion : blockchain technology is just a tool. The main question is if we will use it or not in our allday life to replace banknote. Actually the blockchain works slow (it needs now a few more hours to make a BTC transfer)...the crypto which everyone in the world can use is still not born. Also there is the problem of Energy : if everybody in the world start to use Bitcoin for buying and selling goods we will need the electricity of a country to make the computer calculation. But, it is definitely the future, I trade a lot in the world since 15 years, how many time I had to check with my bank and ask them why the money I was waiting from my customer in the USA didn't hit my account, or my supplier in China still didn't received my TT wire after 15 days. The most frustrating is that the employee from the bank said everytime that there was probably a mistake from my side, before they admit 15 days later that they made a mistake, of course without any apologizes....it is everytime the fault of the computer...
This kind of situation cannot happen with blockchain technology, I can make my transfer 24hours per day (don't need to wait monday morning the bank is open), and I can trace my payment through the blockchain (I have a proof which I have not with my bank -- nothing to compare with a TT Copy which is just a piece of shit)....I am in France, when I make a bank transfer in USD to China for 1000 USD, my supplier in China will receive only 950 or 975 USD, Why ? because the wire must be made by a bank of the state who owns the currency : in other words my USD wire from Paris to Hong Kong will transit through a US Bank : that means +2days. There is not this kind of problem with Bitcoin. My supplier in China can receive the bitcoin quasi instantly and can arrange the shipment the same day : in some case, especially on thursday or friday, I can save 4 to 5 days...this is very important for me when I am short on cash. Imagine now if I could tomorrow trade with African people : they need so much things....they have money....but it is so complicate for them to go to the next main town to make a TT transfer...it is expensive, and they have to wait so long ! I am one of those who hope that blockchain will be the next standard for "money" transfer, because it is the way of transparence and prosperity and especially for the so called third country.
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Good points but I don't think they apply to a bubble. Bubbles are created by the way people behave and their combined psychology - I don't think any of us doubt the long term viability and survival of these technologies but that has nothing to do with whether there is a bubble or not.
Thanks for your fast reply....I am agree with you my points don't direct apply to the question bubble or not...it was my emotional reply.... It was interesting to see the quick rise of Ripple 1 month ago from 1 to 2 Billion within 24 hours just after the annonce on CNN, and next day back to 1 Billion. I thought it is finished for ripple....but now it comes back to 2 billion.. I guess it is actually more easy for investors to enter in crypto through Ripple, LTC Dash (well all crypto you can buy direct in USD EUR or JPY...) and then to exchange them against BTC. For the question of bubble or not, I think it is more a question of capitalization : at a certain level (I would say 500 billions) it will be difficult to go back. A few days ago I spoke by phone with a employee from Stellar Lumens working in Nigeria : his job consist to sell STR against cash to companies in this country so they can trade more easy. In south America also more and more people start to use cryptos like normal bank transfer
Don't worry I understand the point you were making.