End of the correction?

in #cryptocurrency7 years ago

Hi Everyone, MS aka Cryptogem here. Its been a long time since I've posted anything. I guess I was lying low and waiting for the opportune time. I believe that we are nearing the end of the correction, which has lasted for only 3 months but was extremely painful and seemed prolonged

I want to put forth a few points on why I believe that we are nearing the end of the correction in big-daddy BTC. If I may say so, Bitcoin has held the whole alt-coin market hostage. This coupling with Bitcoin however wont end in the near future for reasons well known. For starters, we are talking about a crypto currency which started a revolution.

Bitcoin last made a low of 5967 in the previous leg and in the current downward move made a slightly higher low of roughly 6400. We have more or less a double bottom situation in Technical analysis parlons.

Median corrective moves since 2010 have roughly been 70%. There has been a 72% correction in the overall cryptocurrency market. This has happened without any major reason apart from the Ghost of Mt. Gox coming back to haunt the market again.

Another significant reason is that Institutional money is simply waiting on the sidelines to enter. However I feel that they won be making any significant investments without regulatory guidelines.

Lets wait and see whether this indeed is end of the correction or there is more pain to come.

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In the first place, it don't matter actually , if you're a long term investor it's always a good news to you, and if you're a short term investor it's a bad news for you.

pain don't hurt

bitcoin has to find a bottom, can't wait for the day when bitcoin doesn't determine how the market is doing

So, @cryptogem, you believe by the end of April the correction will be over?

No I don't think we're out of the waters just yet. We may see green in alts but speaking about Bitcoin I don't believe the correction is over yet.

where do you see it going or how long do you see the correction lasting

  1. I'm not an expert and please don't treat this is as a financial advice.
  2. Personally I see two options playing out: If this is really like the 2013 market crash, the bear cycle will last for months (It was year long bear cycle in 2013). If it's faster version of the 2013 crash, either we'll break out in May or August. The lowest I think it would probably go is anywhere between 5k to 4k.
  3. There's one theory that Bitcoin price is being artificially suppressed. According to that theory the lowest Bitcoin would go is towards 1k. I'm still undecided whether I believe it or not. I do keep an open mind. You can read it here: https://steemit.com/bitcoin/@supercrypto1/4th-dimension-bitcoin-manipulation-cartel-price-suppression-is-the-goal
  4. Trade carefully, don't trust everything you read and trade purely based on info from anonymous account, Including me. Especially so if you're new. We're all learning and even if some may not be malicious, we can be misinformed. Hard to tell them apart.

I see this thing going sideways then grind and BOOM just like last time, and the time before

btc log long.png

i think there is more pain and didnt end yet

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A longer correction is always healthy in the market for people who HODL, it just makes the growth sustainable whilst adoption and popularity increases! We will shoot to the moon soon enough.

I always believed it would hit 4k then boom. So possibly hit 4k then go up :) I guessed wrong that it would have been march to go up.

The correction is over when the chart says so. Right now, its a strong down trend. Next target is 6k then will re-evaluate.

The is a great opportunity to dive in and actually LEARN about crypto, not buy it because its the number one app on the app store. This period is transferring money from the impatient to the patient. Essentially Robinhood at its finest