Interesting, I'm doing similar analysis. What I found so far is that short term plays are giving lower returns and more work than just holding for longer time. Unless you bought POWR 30 days ago... Getting in early on a coin is often the best strategy. People are too focused on the short term. Look at XRP, up 42000% since Jan 1st but most people would call it a bad coin based on the performance of the last 3 months.
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Completely agree. Everybody sees dollar signs and want to get that 50x.
I actually try to bet on the market with the long-term holds (and try to outperform it slightly). The rest I put in either very briefly based on specific intel or a bit longer based on roadmap milestones en timing.
Good luck to you!