In this report I will look how my analysis worked for the month of May 2018. There were 31 contests in May. I have already paid out all of them. The analysis was correct zero times. The analysis was wrong 16 time. The cryptocurrency was in a range 15 times.
The correct ones were the following:
N/A
In these contests the range option won:
In these contests the analysis was wrong:
How did the previous months' analysis go?
From April 1, 2017 to May 31, 2018, the analysis has been correct 119 times, wrong 59 times, and the cryptocurrency has been in a range 236 times.
How did the voters do in May 2018?
The voters (the most qualified votes (group or consensus)) were right 13 out of 31 times. So one could say that the crowd was right 42% of time.
Here is the list of contests that the most qualified votes (crowd) won:
How did the voters do earlier this year?
Here is a table of crowd's accuracy since February.
Looks like May was a very difficult month for everybody.
Conclusion
Congratulations to the winners!
How about next month (June 2018)?
If you think my analysis is correct more times than wrong or range, upvote this post (min $0.01) and upvote the comment (min $0.01) "The analysis is right most of the time in June 2018".
If you think my analysis is wrong more times than right or range, upvote this post (min $0.01) and upvote the comment (min $0.01) "The analysis is wrong most of the time in June 2018".
If you think the cryptocurrencies are in the range more often than right or wrong, upvote this post (min $0.01) and upvote the comment (min $0.01) "The cryptocurrencies are in the range most of the time in June 2018".
You can upvote the comment until 3 PM EST July 11 and you can upvote only one comment. 50% of SBD from this post will be distributed equally to the winners.
Bonus
I will be sending one Trophy Token (@trophy-token) to everyone who manages to get these crypto contests right seven times in a row. If/when you accomplish this, please contact me at Steemit Chat with your BitShares address.
The cryptocurrencies are in the range most of the time in June 2018 (20 voters as of 3 PM EST July 11: bleujay, skepticology, bentleycapital, allyouneedtoknow, ace108, kunschj, reconnectnature, toofasteddie, cryptotem, tzap90, rothberg, steem-d-anlovnit, diogosantos, galasek, liberton, bitbrain, beiker, nordina, criptorafa, mitrado).
The analysis is right most of the time in June 2018 (4 voters as of 3 PM EST July 11: crokkon, milano1113, portillo, nzl19500).
The analysis is wrong most of the time in June 2018 (4 voters as of 3 PM EST July 11: mgood, catchup, sporttr, askeb).
You won. Paid out from @maarnio1
Wow! So much analysis work! You deserve my 100% for that!
In general, if bitcoin is on a downtrend, most of the altcoins decline even faster. So it's no surprise that you were wrong so often.
Thanks, mate!
You are welcome.
New quarter, new hope.
Probably the worst month in terms of predictions, that hard deep really surprised us, but it kinda makes sense, now that it happened.
Yep. We have more clarity now.
Great @maarnio
You are consistent, keep it up @maarnio
Thanks. I am trying to keep it up.