The market size seems to be what most people forget when it comes to crypto and how wildly it swings back and forth with only a few transactions. Only showing up that is could easily be a highly inflated value.
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That is the challenge isn't it @swiftpain -- there really isn't a substantiated method or historical corollary to make a reasonable valuation. There is a path to 0x as well as a path to 1000x for many projects. I would argue that the only viable investment options are to, one, buy and hodl without even looking at the day to day market swing -- the class, buy and forget about it for 10 years, or two, run an extremely discipline trading plan taking asymmetric risk and locking in gains early and often.