I like your take on ETH. But it's hard to imagine it displaced as #2. Ethereum's tech offering here is sound even if most ICOs don't deliver on value. What do you think is the best player to replace Ethereum's crowd funding model?
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I think you're right about ETH staying in #2 for a while, however, as regulations around ICOs develop, it's possible we see private blockchains take over ETH as regulation-friendly funding platforms (look at Filecoin's ICO for example)... of course this is just my opinion