If you don't know IEO recently, you may not be able to make money in the currency.
For conceptual questions, you can go to other platforms to understand. In this market that relies on routines, it will always run faster than others. If you are not good at research, you can't capture the ever-changing market, and the news is not well-informed, you can only do the last great pick-up.
Just like killing ETH may not be EOS, but 5G, artificial intelligence or something else. It’s not Suning that kills Gome, but Taobao. It is not the police who kill the thief, but the Alipay. Therefore, IEO is not a vent, and the opening of the flow is the vent.
Why is IEO going up?
"Because the coin Ian Launchpad initiated the first IEO project in 2019, BTT has gone up!"
"The second project FET has also gone up!"
"Every IEO has risen before you see it, so IEO will go up."
"Zhang Santou made money, and Li Si also made money."
"So IEO will make money when you vote."
This is the characteristics of amaranth, not mind, follow the trend, superstition.
IEO is not a patent of the currency, anyone can send IEO. But how to judge whether the IEO of an exchange will rise? This is difficult. A lot of writing from the media, but did not write the real principle, I am afraid that they will be the next round of cutting, and their users. According to the data to determine whether an IEO can make money, I have not seen any calculations.
The IQ Tax Bureau calculates the IQ tax in IEO for everyone.
The next IEO project in the currency
CelerNetwork ( CELR) as an example
Assuming that the price of the currency rises, you can make money (you can't make money by shorting)
Assume that there is no legal risk
Assume that the currency has not closed down or run
Assume that the currency is the same as before, after the launchpad CELR will start in the currency security (the currency announcement and the contract for the IEO project (CELR) will be traded in the currency)
Assume that the account we use can be properly charged.
Estimating the CELR increase by means of the target, this estimate is very vulnerable and can only be calculated. Because the first project in 2019 was relatively new, the time was too long, the data was relatively small, and many people could not understand it. At the same time, the popularity of Sun Yuchen's endorsement and bittorrent team would be stronger, and the difference with the latter projects was huge, so the BTT project was eliminated.
The dangerous factor:
1. The 2/3 of the rumored private placement will be accompanied by the public offering for the first day.
2. The number of people who voted will increase, which will lead to a decrease in the number of people who have not gone to the second level, which will affect the increase.
3. The total number of selling is expanded by 20%
Let's start with the CELR method of making money this time:
In a certain period of time, the increase in the price of the currency = (the amount of money bought - the amount of money sold) / the market value of the opening market and other parameters. Therefore, whether the project is good or bad does not directly affect the price. The quality of the project will affect the amount of funds bought and indirectly affect the increase.
The increase is positively related to (the difference between the buy-sell and the sell). When the buy amount is greater than the sell amount, it will rise. Regardless of the multi-spam project, as long as the purchase volume is greater than the sales volume during this time, 100% rises. No matter how good the project is, the sales volume is greater than the purchase volume, and it will definitely fall. Even if the value appears later, the price rises, and in the days to come, the purchase volume is greater than the sales volume.
There is a truth, the only direct factor affecting prices is supply and demand, which is the amount of buying and selling. Value and so on can only affect supply and demand, and thus indirectly affect prices. We use hypothesis + data analysis to guess the rise and logic of CELR, it must be inaccurate, and the logic is wrong, please correct me.
Increase = (buy amount - sell amount) x factor
5 times = (w-10996137) x coefficient
CELR times = (0.94w-13400000) x coefficient
CELR times = 5 (0.94w - 13.4 million) / (w - 1 million)
= (4.7w-6700 million) / (w-1 million)
Assuming that the multiple of CELR is greater than 1, the vote does not lose money.
4.7w-6700 million>w-1100 million
3.7w>56 million
w>15 million
That is, when w (the final fund that does not invest in the FET to the secondary market) is greater than 15 million US dollars, the CELR is not lost.
What is w?
On the first day of the FET's listing, the USDT coin is about 60 million US dollars, which is bought by one person and sold by one person. That is about 30 million US dollars to receive another 3,000 US dollars of goods, let's do this, because it also ignored the BNB BTC ETH coin pair.
The pick-up man who didn't make a FET to go to the secondary market on the first day of the second-hand market may be more than $30 million. Far greater than 15 million US dollars. So the estimate will be profitable. If w is estimated at $30 million, the profit multiple is about 3.89 times.
This number is seriously inaccurate, because the last FET multiple is different for everyone. My team averaged 4.7 times at that time, and there will be a slight error, which is related to the point selection of the shipment.
Will IEO make money?
IEO must be done in the transaction, because trading all stock users, the most easy to reach effective users, while users dare to deposit coins in the exchange, have all trust in the transaction, easy to facilitate conversion. Therefore, IEO seems to be reliable.
The precondition is that the exchange has real and active credit users.
1. Solve the need for project party recruitment. Users receiving information to vote for IEO can help complete fundraising.
2. There are enough pickers. These active users did not grab the IEO currency, only know that others said that the project can make money, did not understand the other half said, "IEO will be sold immediately after listing." They will think they are going to buy goods in the secondary market and pick up the people who voted for IEO.
3. Continue to flow in newcomers. After losing a game, the player will upgrade to a leek and know how to make money. In addition, the number of copies of the launchpad has been continuously increasing, creating more opportunities for more white, and fresh blood continues to flow.
In fact, if there are users who actually buy coins, then the direct issue of the currency can go up, and most of the coins before the currency can rise on the first day. Why is Huobi and OK not getting new coins?
1 minute K-line chart of a new coin
You look at the trading volume of the new currency, which is still a fake brush. How many active users, how much funds in the leek will be invested in IEO, how much can be left in the remaining shirts, there is a rough number in the heart of the exchange.
What would an other exchange open an IEO?
1. Because the leek is insufficient, the primary market is not enough.
2. If the fundraising is not enough, the exchange and the project party will go up and pull. If the IEO user's disk is received, the project party will have to pay for the money in a few days. If it is not broken, the exchange brand will be embarrassed. The leek will not play once, and will find you to defend your rights.
3. The project side is part of the project and there is a part of the deposit funds. This is to send a pure air, and then go up to pull the plate, the goods can not be dropped is a situation, the first wave of leeks are not enough, how can the secondary market have enough pick-ups.
The IEO of the currency will rise, because the currency has traffic, there are users, there are leeks, and there are also singers. Is there any in your exchange? I don’t have any points in my heart. It’s not that the user is a pit. Do not create value, do a crime against a voter. The project party is okay, offended the leek, hey, anyway, the money is at hand. The exchange is even worse, it can only be a one-time sale.
There are only a few real exchanges in the world.
It is only the currency security that opened the launchpad. It is a pity that the two well-known exchanges that are most familiar to you are not among the exchanges with traffic on the head. As for other homes that have opened an IEO, if there is a chance to make money, the IQ Tax Bureau will inform you as soon as possible.
Source: Blockchain Transparency Institute
It’s not a stick to kill all the exchanges, like the CoinTiger, which is a real-life platform of nearly 20,000. It can raise about 20,000 ETHs at a time. The AVH and TCT that have been done before are all good, all of which stem from Founder Frank can tell who is earning money and who lost money.
Can IEOs of other exchanges vote?
This depends on the value of w calculated above, that is, the final fund that did not participate in the IEO to the secondary market. This includes the exchange's own traffic, that is, users who can take over in the secondary market; it also includes the strength of the project side, that is, the pull-out funds.
1. Relying on the number of users: Most users who participate in IEOs of other exchanges must have participated in the currency. The experience has beenvery savvy. After IOE grabs the currency, it must go to the secondary market to sell, but not to buy it twice. . If the project promotion is not in place, and the flow of the small exchange is not enough, there will be no more users to go to the secondary market to take over.
2. By project side: the project party is more stupid, and the exchange will pay the security deposit to protect the disk (the general situation will be about 130%), so that after the secondary market is guaranteed, even if there are not so many users to do the pick-up, The project is not broken. But if the project side does not choose the support, or if you don't know if the inside of the support is inside, it is easy to get covered.
3. Breaking signs: From BTT to FET, from ten times on the line to five times on the line, the interest points of the coin-launchpad have been continuously reduced. The next few IEOs need complete calculations to determine whether they are profitable. What's more, some exchanges with worrying users, including fire coins and OK or even smaller platforms, are very normal for breaking the line.
4. Short-term arbitrage: The fundamental of a transaction is that some users earn money from another user. The information is asymmetrical, the conditions are different, the cognition is not equal, and the mentality is a variety of factors. The IEO at the moment can only be said to be a way for some people to make a short-term profit, and it can not bring long-term benefits.
No one said that IEO will definitely go up.
Mainland China has made it clear that IEO is illegal, but the currency that started the launchpad is not China. Therefore, investing in IEO on the currency security is not illegal, but is not protected by law. Another meaning is that if you lose money after participating, the courts and police stations in mainland China will not care. The IEO does not promise a benefit, but it is accompanied by risk.
In all fairness, the IEO that can be easily grabbed is rubbish, and those who can't get it are all taken away by the smart people. Even if the IEO of some exchanges is very hot, it is not worthwhile to compare risks.
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Compile / author: IQ Inland Revenue Department
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