Fanduel NFL Week 4: QBs to Target

Ownership % is from linestarapp.com for the "$150K Thu NFL Rush ($25K to 1st, Thu-Mon)"
PO = Projected Ownership
AO = Actual Ownership
Only the highest PO players are listed.

Chalk (should score high points, will have high AO%)
Russell Wilson - $7900 - 3.35% PO

He struggled through Weeks 1-2 and finally found what he was missing in Week 3, rebounding with an impressive 33.52 pt game. He's the "best bang for your buck" QB this week in regards to salary/match up. Expect a lot of other players to take notice and want to ride the Wilson train this week.

Pivot (a riskier chalk play that should have a significantly lower AO%)
Drew Brees - $8500 - 3.45% PO

Brees hasn't put up a typical 23 pts+ more showing this season that we've been accustomed to over the years. (His highest score was 22.24 pts in Week 2) This week he gets the Miami Dolphins who were roughed up on both sides of the ball by the New York Jets. New Orleans got their first win of the season last week against the Carolina Panthers and their respectful defense so imagine what can happen against a lower tier Miami defense. I also forgot to mention, Brees will be getting his #2 receiver in Willie Snead back after a 3 game suspension. More weapons for Brees just means more chances to score pts.

GPP (should be a low AO% that has a chance of scoring 2.5X-4X their salary in points)
DeShaun Watson - $7300 - 2.56% PO

Oh my what this rookie can do! Over the last two weeks, Watson has scored the eighth-most fantasy points among QBs including 20.14 points in New England. The Titans have allowed seven touchdown passes and an average of 20.67 fantasy points a game to opposing QBs. It all adds up if you ask me.

Fade (typically a good match up and/or projected to have a game; avoid at all costs)
Blake Bortles - $7700

Bortles had a blessing of a day in London last week throwing 4 TDs and has a juicy match up with the Jets. But you need to remember, this is Blake Bortles were talking about here and not a Brady, Rodgers, or a Brees. No one expected him to do what he did to the Ravens and I feel as though it was just an anomaly. Were back in the states this week and I expect expectations to be tempered for the Jags signal caller.

Contrarian (typically a bad match up and/or projected to have a bad game; has upside to do the opposite)
Marcus Mariota - $7700

Mariota ranks 10th in fantasy points among quarterbacks after three weeks and is going against a Houston defense which hasn't quite lived up to its hype. Houston allowed 378 yards and five touchdown passes in last weekend's loss to the Patriots. While the defense does boast some great play makers such as Watt and Clowney, Mariota may be able to continue riding Houston's defensive struggles for his own gain.

Sleeper (low AO% player that should get 2X-3X point value based on salary)
Jay Cutler - $7300 - 1.64% PO

This weeks game will be played in London so we could be on the verge of another strange game like last week. Not necessarily in the form of a huge upset, but maybe in the form of Cutler living up to his potential! The Saints ranked 30th against the pass in 2016, and they are currently 29th against the pass this season (and that's after they shut down the Panthers in Week 3). Cutler can't ask for many easier defenses to prove his worth than this one.

Bargain (< $7000)
Case Keenum - $6800

Who would've thought a bargain QB could put up just short of 30 pts the week before? The Lions had the 31st worst pass defense last year so they're susceptible to any QB slicing their coverages week to week. If Keenum picks up where he left off last week, he could replicate that score.