the only thing I could see making a significant difference is if faction wars end up diverting a significant amount of Steem investment to buying troops. I mean you already see some of that with many of the largest initial investors dropping a ton of steem into troops - to whatever extent genuine rivalries and back and forth clan raids end up developing, I wouldn't be surprised to see larger players like bernie dropping a ton of steem on troops which basically subsidizes new players who just focus on drug production.
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