Atlanta takes on Milwaukee on 7/1/2021 at 8:30PM.
The Atlanta Hawks and Milwaukee Bucks face off in an important game for both teams. Atlanta has a record of 41-31 this regular season. Milwaukee is 46-26 this regular season. Both have players to meet and know.
Atlanta Team Defense Preview
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You should not have high expectations considering their defensive efficiency is 113.3, but relatively speaking it is still a rather average defense. This analysis would be woefully incomplete without going into further detail aside from just a defensive efficiency rating.
This is a decent defensive team that is able to force some bad shots. They are quite average in their ability to keep opponents from scoring at the rim. It is tougher to score at the rim against their defense than much of the NBA.
Sometimes defenses are very focused on forcing bad shots and getting the defensive rebound. Is there anything to support this? It may be just possible that this is a passive defense.
Atlanta Team Offense Preview
You should not have high expectations considering their offensive efficiency is 115.7, but relatively speaking it is still a slightly above-average offense. Now that we know what the overall offense looks like, it is time to understand why this offense is the way it is. This is a slower than average team when it comes to the pace of play.
Their True Shooting Percentage is .581 which considered to be slightly above average. Their Effective Field Goal Rate is .539, which considered to be slightly above average. They attempt .382 of their shots from three point range. They take threes less often than many in the NBA. They made .373 of their shots from three point range. They are a slightly above average three point shooting team. They made .812 of their shots from the Free Throw Line. They are an above average Free Throw shooting team.
They rebounded 24.4% of their missed shots. This is an above average offensive rebounding team.
Milwaukee Team Defense Preview
Their defensive efficiency is 111.4, which means they have an above average defense relative to other teams in the NBA. This analysis would be woefully incomplete without going into further detail aside from just a defensive efficiency rating.
This is a decent defensive team that is able to force some bad shots. Their ability to keep opponents from scoring at the rim is among the best in the NBA. It is tougher to score at the rim against their defense than much of the NBA.
This is not a team that excels at forcing live ball turnovers. Either the personnel or strategy is not there.
Milwaukee Team Offense Preview
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Getting excited about an offensive efficiency of 117.2 is going a bit overboard with an above-average offense. And nothing more than that. Now that we know what the overall offense looks like, it is time to understand why this offense is the way it is. They play a pace that is considered faster than average, but this is not a team that is having a track meet.
Their True Shooting Percentage is .593 which considered to be above average. Their Effective Field Goal Rate is .566, which considered to be above average. They attempt .404 of their shots from three point range. They fall right around average in the NBA. They made .389 of their shots from three point range. They are an above average three point shooting team. They made .760 of their shots from the Free Throw Line. They would be considered below average from the charity stripe.
They successfully retrieved 23.3% of their missed shots. They are a slightly above average rebounding team.
The Atlanta Roster
The Players to Watch for Atlanta
Kevin Huerter 6-7 190 SG
He is a general rotation player on this team. Nothing too special thus far.
He does not attack the rim as much as he should. There is nothing special regarding his shot selection on the perimeter. In man-to-man defense, playing fairly standard defense against him on the perimeter is advisable. In the NBA, he would be considered one of the more passive offensive players and he is almost exclusively a jump shooter. He is a generally average Free Throw Shooter.
He is an average distributor in this offense. He has done a better job than most protecting the basketball.He could be a better offensive rebounder, but he has not put it together yet this season.
Trae Young 6-1 180 PG
He is a positive impactful starter who makes an impact for this team.
He does not attack the rim as much as he should. He is not considered a frequent three point shooter. In man-to-man defense, playing fairly standard defense against him on the perimeter is advisable. Getting to the Free Throw Line is an important part of his game. He is a generally average Free Throw Shooter.
One of the best distributors in the NBA, he sets up his teammates like few others. He does not turn it over more or less than anyone. He could be a better offensive rebounder, but he has not put it together yet this season.
Clint Capela 6-10 240 C
He is a positive impactful starter who makes an impact for this team.
He is one of the leaders in the NBA in his ability to get scoring attempts at the rim. Shooting three point shots is either a rarity or it never happens, he gets his work done in the paint. He is an above average three point shooter who must be respected. He does not do the things he needs to do to get himself to the Free Throw Line consistently. Fouling him is probably better than letting him get two points on a drive or post-up. The Free Throw Line is an adventure for him and everyone is there to watch.
He is either a ballhog, does not play enough minutes or he is not supposed to be distributing the ball. He has done a better job than most protecting the basketball.Opponents need to be aware of his ability to grab offensive rebounds and find a way to neutralize it.
The Milwaukee Roster
The Players to Watch for Milwaukee
Khris Middleton 6-7 222 SF
He is an important offensive option on this team this season.
He does not attack the rim as much as he should. He is not considered a frequent three point shooter. In man-to-man defense, playing fairly standard defense against him on the perimeter is advisable. He is a bit more of a jump shot oriented player so he does not get fouled as much. At the Free Throw Line, he is an above average Free Throw shooter.
He sets up his teammates in an above-average fashion. He does not turn it over more or less than anyone. He could be a better offensive rebounder, but he has not put it together yet this season.
Giannis Antetokounmpo 6-11 242 PF
He is an MVP candidate this season and a player you must know.
There is nothing special regarding his shot selection inside the perimeter. He is not considered a frequent three point shooter. He is a below average three point shooter. Getting to the Free Throw Line is an important part of his game. At the Free Throw Line, he is an above average Free Throw shooter.
He sets up his teammates in an above-average fashion. He does not turn it over more or less than anyone. On the offensive glass, he is generally average. Nothing stands out.
Jrue Holiday 6-3 205 PG
He is a positive impactful starter who makes an impact for this team.
He does not attack the rim as much as he should. He is not considered a frequent three point shooter. In man-to-man defense, playing fairly standard defense against him on the perimeter is advisable. He is a bit more of a jump shot oriented player so he does not get fouled as much. He is a generally average Free Throw Shooter.
He sets up his teammates in an above-average fashion. He does not turn it over more or less than anyone. He could be a better offensive rebounder, but he has not put it together yet this season.
Atlanta Hawks vs. Milwaukee Bucks Prediction, Picks, and Odds
Prediction: Atlanta Hawks 113 Milwaukee Bucks 122
Spread Pick: Milwaukee -2 -108 BetOnline Get Up to a Grand in Your Hand Now!
Moneyline Pick: Milwaukee -125 Bovada
Over Pick: Over 215 -110 BetOnline Get Up to a Grand in Your Hand Now!
nice write up - I think Giannis and Trae are doubtful too, so we'll see if Middleton can get the W
Middleton can be Superman. I've seen him since he was at A&M, he's capable of carrying a team.
Brewers are HOT HOT HOT and now a series at PNC Park... this is the time to build even more distance from the Cards and Cubs. Make them deadline sellers. I'm beefing up the @brewcrewpub news roundups along with all the other MLB teams.
Wisconsin coverage coming in a few weeks. There's a possibility of a new token/tribe as well.
Interesting that you think the Bucks will win by so much. I am leaning towards them tonight but that would be a dominant win if they pull it off like you predict.
Usually, when you express surprise over the model's picks... it's a good sign that the model may be onto something.
Who won the Game 4 Bucks-Hawks contest? I thought I tied it.