I've often thought it was because the letter combination "tu" is common in Mandarin, but "tr" is not. But my students seldom misspell "truly" or "truth" or "try" so maybe you are right about the balancing idea.
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Sorry. Maybe it is due to the letter combination "tu". Maybe I just made a beautiful excuse for my spelling mistake. After I was reminded, I never spell "true" into "ture" later. Your blogs on common mistakes made by English learners are very meaningful and helpful. I love reading them so much. Thank you for your great job!