Analysts don't know much beyond who is paying them to do their analysis :) Yes there is a risk of doing so many ICOs in Ethereum. It isn't able to scale well enough yet to handle so many projects sitting on top of it to begin with. After that if a major ICO fails to deliver it could have a short to mid term negative impact on Ethereum as a whole. And finally with respect to the SEC... This is entirely driven by the fact that they have no control over ICOs. That's where the problem lie, but the ICOs are likely preventing US citizens from participating in order to prevent the SEC from having a potential case against them
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