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If the forecast comes true, yes. However alternative counts always exist, so fundamentals are a important factor when it comes to the odds of analysis coming to fruition.

I don't believe fundamentals increase odd of call; rather it decreases it. The reason is that price is the earliest reflection of sentiment while news and events are downstream. That is why price projects the news.

For me coins must fulfill a certain criteria before investing since there's so many pump and dumps in crypto.
How do you tell a true breakout from a pump & dump?