I don't usually ride on teams that are on fire. They can sizzle out anytime like the recent Yankees.
Instead, I bet on them based on pre-determined filters. Less work and emotion involved allows me to just wager whenever a qualified bet happens :)
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I see where you are coming from. Lately, i tried to stay away from the teams that are on a roll. Sometimes, when it looks to good to be true, you should stay away. Even the worst team will win sometime.