Hahaha! This is the mindset of a hardcore gambler! Super confident to win it all! Well, 50% chance is good than betting on a lottery.
In gambling, perhaps, math is irrelevant, common sense is your best ally. Goodluck!
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50% for the first bet, not even sure what would be the chance for nailing 12 of them IN A ROW but definetly not 50% and pretty sure under 1%