I haven't spent much time pondering statistics- not consciously anyway. My hunch is - keep it simple and risk coming across that way (truth). So fool says 3 in 10. 30% Or one in just under three (I like fuzzy logic).
If true, let a more precise & calculating respondent take the prize.
Philosophical stuff- Sign of a genuine, sincere effort (free from weighty baggage, negative stuff)- almost invariably encounters - uncanny opposition, initial fails & / or setbacks where typically not expected. It's an observation. Just sayin.
edit- wow, I realized major mis placed decimal on that figure, lol oh well
So you must mean like 1/33 not one in three? There's no way it's a 33% chance