Both can be true, though ... it depends on whether the advice is rooted in the market and asset cycle and the solidity of the project. For crypto, GENERALLY, hodling is going to do well IF you and the project can hang on 2-4 YEARS, and take profit at the right time.
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That's a fair point, too. There is definitely a point where you SHOULD take profit, and even trading differently than I did could have made a lot more than I did. In general, I'm probably looking for a lazy-man's long-term solution.
I have your lazy-man solution: crypto is a four-year cycle, topping in the year after the leap year, bottoming two years later, starting up again in the next leap year. So far, this is what the charts say because of what Bitcoin does with the halving, every leap year.
So, take profit this year, late in the year, and go away until late 2027. Buy crypto then. Hold until 2028 or 2029. If the cycles hold, that should work well. I am a long-term swing trader, and this is what I do.
At least that has been the trend so far. There are a lot of things going on that could buck that trend. Looking at "29 halvings remaining" sounds like a big number, but we're already down to 3 coins per block. Who knows really.
The math of Bitcoin is robust ... but I offered you a lazy-man's solution. I am an industrious woman, and have studied ... and of course in due time will do a revise on my manual for such things, but in the meantime, forgetting the long future...
... this cycle is mathematically on schedule ... so, taking profit around September-November 2025 will probably get pretty close to getting out at the top.
I appreciate it. I don't disagree with your suggestion. It's got solid backing. I'm probably sounding less agreeable than I mean to. I always have that problem when I attempt to do "social media" things while working.
It can be hard to divide one's attention ... it happens to us all sometimes.