At the interactive science museum there was a section dedicated to various instances of artificial intelligence, with one being a very simple human against AI guessing game race. The human player could hit a left or right button, and the AI would try to predict which it would be. If it guessed correctly, the robot would move a click on the track, if incorrectly, the human would move a click.
The AI has won 70% of the ~150K races so far.
And I suspect it will increase that gap, as it uses historical data to train itself to better predict future actions of human players. However, it doesn't really need to, which is why this simple game is indicative of our own futures in an AI-dominated world.
There is still an expectation that AI has to be perfect to replace us. Or even, it has to be better than the best humans. But this is not the case. All it has to do to add value, is outperform the average human at a particular task. But the value added isn't one for one based on the task alone, because unlike a human, an AI can work continuously with no sleep or breaks, never gets sick, never goes on strike, never asks for a pay increase, and performs consistently and predictably, never suffering the slings and arrows of human existence. An AI doesn't call in sick on a Monday, nursing a hangover. And it is never affected by lack of sleep due to a crying baby, or struggles through a divorce.
Humans are fragile.
And not only that, despite our best intentions, we don't actually do a very good job learning from our mistakes, and worse at learning from the mistakes of others. An AI on the other hand will indeed learn from not only its mistakes and the mistakes of others, but also all of the success data points also. And rather than taking 12 to 18 months to make any impactful changes in its behaviour, it can include the new information into its code immediately, and start trialling instantly, in continuous improvement cycle.
I have no idea of the AI model being used in the game mentioned, but it would be interesting to know if it is a self-improving model. Essentially, it should really be a 50/50 guess, but if it is learning the patterns as it keeps getting played, I wonder how predictive it can get of human behaviours. My daughter was trying a lot of "random" patterns in the hope to beat it, but the AI would beat her, as it continually guessed more right than wrong. A 70% win-rate in a 50/50 choice game is incredibly high over so many thousands of games.
Humans are not only going to fall behind, but continually fall behind at an increasing rate, and AI and automation, including robotics, will advance and encroach into more and more human held positions. When AIs can predict a simple coinflip human better than 50%, it also means that they will be able to apply the same kinds of strategies to predict behaviours that rely on more complex data at a far better accuracy than a human equivalent. For instance, a psychologist AI would be able to combine a whole range of data points, combined with a host of cues like voice tone, eye movement, breathing speed and depth, heart rate and facial expressions, to give a far deeper appraisal than a human psychologist, who is only as good as their training, and awareness in the moment - and they might have been out drinking last night, or up with a crying baby.
To err is human.
But how much "error" are we willing to tolerate from humans, if there is a more accurate answer coming from AI? Do you want a human radiologist to read your scans, or an AI? Do you want a human financial advisor, or an AI? Do you want a human teacher for your children, or an AI? They sound like silly questions, but in fields that are seeing both shortages of staff due to being underpaid, and those that rely on processing a huge amount of data, or looking at very subtle indicators, the AIs are going to excel.
Think about the failing education systems where talented and engaged teachers are increasingly rare due to the salary and the declining quality of child behaviour, and the increase of home schooling. Some home school parents might have followed a trend, but not actually had the skills or process to do a good job of home schooling. However, with AI support, it is possible to have all the lessons packaged and tailored, possibly with teachers that will keep adjusting the style to meet the specific and changing needs of each individual. Some kids just aren't cut out for the normal school teaching styles, will AI help them learn above and beyond?
Learn for what purpose though?
What is the point of learning skills that are not going to lead to anywhere near a high enough level to compete with the skills provided by the AIs? What will the employment landscape look like for my daughter in two decades from now? What will her first jobs be like in a decade from now, when already the fast food jobs I did, are disappearing.
Where will she spend her skills?
Using skill for the fun of it only goes so far. It is great for a hobby, but when there are only hobbies available and nothing that is value adding to society, do we satisfy our natural human needs of contribution to the community? Already we are seeing young people struggling to find meaning in the world, with quite a few actually turning back to the religions for answers. It is like we have regressed as a society and instead of finding meaning in understanding reality, we are finding meaning by creating a fantasy again.
Maybe this will lead to a new age of religion where that mechanism in us is utilised to search even deeper than we can through science alone. But I suspect that it will instead be used to avoid the void - to fill up the space with something, so as not to face the reality of having nothing of value to do.
Our ultimate calling?
Or the final call for our species?
Taraz
[ Gen1: Hive ]
Your text made me deeply question how artificial intelligence is redefining what it means to be human, as I have already commented in other posts I have made in this community. It is amazing, and at the same time disturbing, how even a simple AI can outperform us in basic tasks, as it learns from patterns and eliminates our natural weaknesses: mistakes, tiredness, emotions. I think we underestimate how much this will change our society; not just in work or education, but in something more essential, like finding purpose. If machines dominate areas that once gave us identity and value, what will we have left? Maybe hobbies, maybe religion, but that doesn't seem enough. I worry that instead of harnessing this technology to bring out the best in us, we will end up using it as a crutch, avoiding facing an ever-growing existential void. This advance could be our greatest achievement or the beginning of our irrelevance. And honestly, I'm not sure which side I prefer; for the moment, I've been adapting to it as objectively as possible.
Yes. It is both. I am positive that AI is going to make a massive impact on humanity. I also think a lot of that impact is going to be negative for the majority of humans, unless we completely redefine what it means to add value in society, and what value is as a human. And it requires a large majority to accept a redefinition.
It is definitely not enough. I think there is something to be said of "idle hands doing the devil's work". There is a reason that society is failing at so many levels, and this exacerbates it.
I was going to say I wonder what would happen if you just used a coin flip to determine which button you were going to hit. I wonder what the success would be against the AI in that case. It's scary the number of kids who find their way back into public school after being home schooled and you wonder if the parents even graduated.
Good question about the coin flip - but it also makes me wonder how predictable we are, even in a binary decision.
Do they adapt well? I am a fan of home schooling for some kids, because their parents know what they are doing, and get support where necessary - but some others seem to just do it as a trend, or out of some kind of neglect almost, but under the guise of doing what is right for the child.
Some of them do, some of them don't. My wife would be able to answer that question better than me if she spent any time here on HIVE! :)
This really does paint a very scary picture of the future... Most humans will be un-necessary and with time it will be less and less humans are needed until at the end AI and robots do everything for us.
What happens at that point? Will we find the way to live in a utopia where people are finding their fun purpose in life or will it be the more scary religious cult stuff? Will AI at some point become aware and decide that we are a virus on this planet...
This might come sooner than most people realize and I am afraid we will have no time to adjust...
It is pretty bleak. People seem to take the narrow approach of "it makes what I do now easier" without considering the long-term impacts on their own lives, when they have nothing to do.
That or we have some sort of extreme socialism with everyone on equal basic income or at that point no point in having money at all... You find your own purpose in life as your services are no longer required...
New age of religion - Possibly one without all the the bullshit, lies, control mechanisms, greed, misperceptions and dogma?
Anyway, AI disturbs me and I think every human should feel that way, certainly the ones that are younger than me, the ones that'll live in a world so completely outside of their control or understanding. People hail AI for how much time it'll save them, but it'll come at a cost.
Possibly back to paganism and worshipping plants :D
The cost is going to be far higher than people seem to think it will be - because they can't yet imagine what AI is going to be able to do without them.
Yep, I agree. I don't understand why people hail AI as being a good thing. Sure, there's use cases but deferring to it seems draught with danger.
That ai was lucky that it was not against Thomas Shelby from Peaky Blinders. He would have rigged the race to end in his favor.
"AI? We're the Peaky fucken' Blinders."
We are still in the early stages of artificial intelligence. Even now, it is quite impressive compared to humans. The point it will reach in the future seems a bit scary. Issues such as fraud will increase considerably. Anxiety and depressive feelings in people will increase to a higher level. While even smartphones have negative effects on people, I cannot imagine the negative effect that artificial intelligence will have.
There are already edge cases of people getting attached to a chatbot to the point they kill themselves, and this will get increasingly common, as well as a range of other poor social actions. We are becoming slaves to our creations.
Indeed going to be AI-dominated world. Considering the efforts of AI programming at work places, I have started to think that it will be more difficult for the next generation to find a job.
Much more difficult I think. Unless we again value actual humans and what they can do more than what a machine can do better, there isn't much hope.
It's indeed fascinating! While I don't know the specific AI model used in the game, it's likely an example of machine learning or reinforcement learning in action.
I didn't look into it deeply enough, but it is an interesting example of how it can work out patterns across many humans that believe they are making a 50/50 decision.
Sometimes, I also have a question of whether to continue or stop, and now it's also a 50/50 decision :)
I believe that AI, if used in the right way, can be a great tool to help humans, much more than what they are already doing right now.
What kinds of use cases do you think would be valuable for humans?
gotta fill that void.. yep.. at least we can focus more on hobbies and whatever we are passionate about.
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