@aussieninja
This, honestly - pretty cute, Chaos Orc was created by @hector077 and it looks pretty great. Big fan.
Hi everyone!
@aftersound released a video this week basically saying that it is hard work getting wins in Modern and that he's essentially not playing ranked anymore and having way more fun in Training with ghost cards...
Watching this... I felt super seen. It felt so much harder getting wins this season than really ever before. I managed to break into Champs III in Wild but then promptly got kicked out and could not scratch my way back in. Playing and losing constantly definitely feels like a chore at times.
My assumption is that the player base is very slowly shrinking and the accounts remaining are heavily invested and tough to beat...
The bots issue is always an interesting one. You could argue that bots are better than human players because they've already been preprogramed to use the best cards for any given situation - while a human player has to problem solve in 2 minutes. You could also argue that bots are worse than human players because there is too many variables that bots won't be able to accommodate like a human can.
Personally I think it comes down to the card collection of the account, a bot with a massive collection of cards to choose from is very likely going to beat me every time, whereas a bot with a smaller collection probably won't beat a human with a similar sized collection.
My theory on why it's getting harder to win is that the bot accounts less invested in the ecosystem are leaving (less wild battles than 6 months ago in the above graph) while the bot accounts with huge collections have stayed.
I'm also think that I might be placing too much emphasis on the ruleset of each game... I think my team decks are too specialized and I'm getting beaten by decks that are more balanced. I'm definitely going to have to work on better strategies going forward.
In regards to Heloise the Hallow... I am genuinely shocked that the price is lowest near the very end.
I thought FOMO would kick in, especially since the whales seemed to be happy to keep the price high where I thought the natural slump would be in the 70s. Good luck for those that get it in the next week before it finishes.
Personally I'm still trying to figure out the scenarios where the Heloise works well. I've honestly barely played it the last few days.
Match Report
Performance
| Stat | #Wild | #Modern |
|---|---|---|
| Rank | Diamond #840 | Diamond #880 |
| Rating | 3640 - Diamond I | 3100 - Diamond II |
| Rating High | 3760 | 3100 |
| Ratio (Win/Loss) | 0.95 (141/149) | 1.42 (44/31) |
| Longest Streak | 8 | 5 |
Rewards Report
Earnt Tokens (Ranked Rewards)
| Ranked Play Wins | Tokens Received |
|---|---|
| 185 | ✨ 230556 Glint + ⭐1372.553 SPS |
| Season Rewards Claimed | ✨ 257468 Glint |
| Glint Spent | ✨ (537500) Glint |
Glint season rewards will show in the season they are claimed.
I think Wild isn't paying as much Glint as it used to.
I'm going to have to pay more attention, but in the past Wild seemed to pay double or sometimes triple the Glint that Modern did (although it was hard to get a good read because I've rarely been in the same league at the same time) and in this last season I'm not sure that was the case.
You can see that my last few games for the season were rocking in around 1500 Glint...
... but usually in the last couple of days in a season I'm collecting around 2K Glint per win.
I did get myself to 230K Glint:
Which is just short of my 265K goal (to get me to 538K which will buy me Batch 1 of Legendaries and Epics), but I've still got that Glint surplus from 2 seasons ago.
Unbinding for Chaos Legion Reward cards has ended, so now my only option is to keep or burn them for Glint... which is fine. I don't think there was much of a market to buy them anyway.
After my last report card I put my spare Legendary Rebellion reward cards up for sale (at the lowest price at the time)... Endless Gibbon, Frigid Wolf, Grifzi but so far I've only sold a single Endless Gibbon card. I used that DEC to purchase a single Emberguard card, so now I've maxed that one.
Two weeks to sell a single card does make me think there isn't going to be much of a market for surplus cards until after this batch has ended, so at this point I should try my best to not get duplicates.
This is where I'm at overall:
I basically have 6 out of 12 cards maxed out already:
This is where I'm not smart enough to figure out maths. Simply, I have a 50% of getting duplicates.
Duplicates cost 10,000 ($6.80) to unlock, but cost about $10 to buy. You can burn a duplicate for 2,500 Glint but to get a single Legendary draw costs 35,000 Glint.
I'm missing 17 Legendary cards to max them all out... so if I had to pay to max them, it would cost at minimum $170USD. Of course, I wouldn't max them all, I'm not even super sure how useful they are since I haven't really been playing them because I generally need maxed cards.
Maybe I'll do one more batch to see if I can shrink that $170 at all...
This is probably a mistake...
10 Legendary Draws for 350,000 Glint with 10 Alchemy potions:
Okay... so 50% of these cards are duplicates - whoops!
I can now max Sergeant Grauzral, Blackmoor Jinx and Syrenth. So that saves me $30ish. I needed both Death Ranger and the Gallicus so that's another $30 saved.... so I think this was literally 60/40 a good/bad idea, haha.
I now have 9 out of 12 Legendaries maxed out - but I don't think I can rely on the draw anymore. I might just have to accept that I'll need to buy the remaining 11 cards that I need, or just not worry about them.
The decision to burn or sell duplicates is a big one because it costs so much to unbind (10,000 DEC) so if they don't sell and you end up burning them for Glint - it ends up being a waste.
I think I'll try and sell these ones, but it is a gamble - I assume (but don't know) that these reward cards would get cycled out shortly after Conclave Arcana is released.
I think (but again I don't know) this moment is the cheapest to unbind them.
I now have 9 Legendary Rebellion cards listed for sale... the longer time goes on, the more competition I'll have and the lower the prices will go - so I think you really do want to avoid getting duplicates in the quest to max out these cards.
In terms of Epics, this is where I'm at:
25 Epic Draws for 187,500 Glint with 25 Alchemy potions:
Shocking!
I think I might have my first duplicate in the Halfling Refugee, but the rest are all very useful. Only 1 card to go to max out Olivia of the Brook.
This also means I've maxed out my first epic, giving the Halfling Refugee 5 melee:
Pretty amazing for a 1 mana card. I can't think of any time where this card got Exhausted at a crucial moment.
For everyone's information... Epic cards cost 2000 DEC ($1.36) to unbind, get 500 Glint to on burning (7500 Glint for a single Epic draw) and the Halfling Refugee is listed for about $2.12. I'll attempt to sell this one to see how long it takes.
The question on unbinding/selling versus burning is compounded for gold foil cards since it's all way more expensive. I have a gold foil version for all 7 Epic Rebellion Reward cards.
I now have 151,759 Glint remaining...
🟣 Rental Report
| Type | DEC |
|---|---|
| Revenue | 15477.919 |
| Expenses (inc. fees) | (619.125) |
| Cancellation Refunds | 0.000 |
| NET | 14858.794 |
Rentals are sliding ever further down...
I totally forgot to claim any SPS this season, which means next season will be double the usual. It's a shame, I really wanted to see what effect my puling out a bunch from an LP for Heloise would have on my overall earnings.
Here is where it stands currently...
| Season | SPS | Season | SPS | Season | SPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 66 | 65 | N/A | 64 | 15892.653 | |
| 63 | 15275.315 | 62 | 20313.589 | 61 | 8024.806 |
| 60 | 14245.999 | 59 | 25954.925 | 58 | ??? |
| 57 | 13692.108 | 56 | 14230.283 | 55 | 14892.994 |
| 54 | 16192.784 | 53 | 5563.962 | 52 | 9952.873 |
| 51 | 14906.164 | 50 | ??? | 49 | ??? |
| 48 | 9937.225 | 47 | 11544.785 | 46 | 19670.974 |
| 45 | ??? | 44 | ??? | 43 | 11209.623 |
| 42 | 11368.979 | 41 | 15734.601 | 40 | 5738.528 |
| 39 | 12692.220 | 38 | 10405.610 | 37 | 7841.389 |
| 36 | 9657.743 | 35 | 9336.764 | 34 | 13413.875 |
| 33 | 29556.874 | 32 | ??? | 31 | 10591.881 |
| 30 | 12390.883 | 29 | 12757.227 | 28 | 13324.727 |
| 27 | 14735.391 | 26 | 18423.610 | 25 | 15592.310 |
| 24 | 9888.861 | 23 | 11190.555 | 22 | 11704.133 |
| 21 | 14514.412 | 20 | 16059.041 | 19 | 17007.533 |
| 18 | 32635.224 | 17 | ??? | 16 | 9157.288 |
| 15 | 17757.516 | 14 | 14016.525 | 13 | 12265.515 |
Hope you're doing well in the game...
Thanks for reading!
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I am so out of this at the moment.
With my laptop dying and the restrictions on my work laptop, I cannot play. I suppose I can set it up on my phone again but I wonder if it is worth it.
I still have around $900 worth of cards and around 270 unopened Chaos Packs which honestly, I was hoping would go up during a Bull season for Hive. Which is inbound and not current... so perhaps I really should just stay put and wait and bide my time...
You should definitely bide your time with the Chaos Legion packs.
Soon(ish) there is going to be a new Survival mode available, which, if I remember correctly, once a card dies in the game, you can't play it for a few days (even if you win) so if this mode becomes popular then people will be looking for multiple versions of cards.. and Chaos Legion is the only over-printed edition, so the price of the packs will hopefully go up.
They've reimplemented all the game code to allow for a better mobile experience, but I never play on my phone so I can't tell you if it's worth it or not.
I'm sooo envious of that reward cards collection, mine is not even at 50%! It pains me to read every time an ex-regular player decides to stop playing (and simply bot), but it seems that is the way to go. Very curious to see what will the next cards set bring, but not keeping any hopes up until I see a wild league bot free. Cheers and congrats on the season result, pretty epic to reach champ in bot hell! ;) !BEER
Hahaha, I'm glad I'm making someone jelly... although I will say that it's really hard to say just how valuable these Rebellion Rewards cards are. Not many seem to be sold or bought, so demand might just be non-existent at the moment.
I'm also so curious about Conclave Arcana. I honestly have no idea what the demand is going to be like.
Give the hassle (and cost!) for all the unbinding and selling, I'm not surprised. Non sb cards worked great and likely generated market fees, but we can't have that because we prefer bot galore (yes, it's sarcasm... :).
I'll try and grind more, I want those maxed sb cards too!! :)) Cheers!
Congrats on reaching Champion in both leagues.
Thank you! I've never actually gotten to Champs III in Modern though, I've only ever made it to Diamond I... but I'm actually going to make a run for it this season!
Thanks for the correction.
No clue how I misread that.
Either case, a nice run.
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BEER.BEERHey @aussieninja, here is a little bit of from @pardinus for you. Enjoy it!Do you want to win SOME BEER together with your friends and draw the
BEERKING.