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RE: A data-driven analysis of when Chaos Legion will sell out

in Splinterlands3 years ago

There's definitely not enough data to fit a sigmoid. My best guess at this point is that it's gonna be pretty linear, with increases in rates leading up to each 1M mark, and then dropping back down right after. So once I have data through 8M sold, I think that model will do a very good job of predicting sales overall. I do think what is here overestimates the total time as a result. I wish I had collected data a few days earlier, as that would at least include the buildup to 7M.