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RE: The Epic conclusions: XBOT vs. Archmage in the era of rebellion

in Splinterlands10 months ago (edited)

@badrag Thanks again for sharing your thoughts on comparing Archmage and XBot. It's really helpful to look at them side by side.

The more I've thought about this, the more I think there's a missing piece in your assessment though.

Let's dive a bit deeper into this, especially about how choosing one over the other could affect our future earnings.

You pointed out that Archmage has higher rewards but also higher fees, and XBot has lower rewards and fees. That means your total "sellable" earnings with your current account are about break even. But there's more to think about, like how our choices today can help us earn more in the future.

Here's the main point: Getting Cards is crucial for long-term earnings. Think of Cards not just as rewards, but as tools that continually boost your earning power. It's like constantly upgrading a machine – every new Card you add is like giving your earnings a power boost.

Many key cards are ONLY earned and improved through winning battles. You get Rewards Cards by earning Loot Chests and Gladius Cards by earning Merits for Gladius Cases. This is where automation services shine – they help ensure your account is not only earning sellable rewards but also collecting those special Cards that enhance your future earning ability. Every new Card is an upgrade, making your account stronger and more capable of earning.

Now, let's look at how Archmage and XBot help us do this. Here's a simple breakdown using your numbers, showing how each service helps us make our Card collection better and boost our future earnings:

ServiceSPS/DayMertisx100/DayPotions/DayRewards Cards Chances/DayGold Foil Chances/DayRegular Foil Chances/Day
Xbot13.9226.9156.742.560.512.05
Archmage16.9932.8477.673.060.612.45
% Better Per Day With Archmage18.07%18.07%26.95%16.41%16.41%16.41%
ServiceRFC/DayGFC/DayRFR/DayGFR/DayRFE/DayGFE/DayRFL/DayGFL/DayTotal RF/DayTotal GF/Day
Xbot15.241.5410.242.053.070.773.071.0231.6237.00
Archmage18.961.8412.252.453.670.923.671.2238.5544.98
% Better Per Day With Archmage19.59%16.41%16.41%16.41%16.41%16.41%16.41%16.41%17.97%17.75%

I created a spreadsheet that runs the math for distribution of all rewards based on chest type to come up with these numbers and then divided seasons totals by days in the season to try and make the comparison more fair as well - All numbers are based on expected averages on a per chest basis to compare on the whole what you'd expect

Key Takeaway:
If net earnings from sellable rewards is almost the same with both services, these numbers show that Archmage helps improve your collection about 18% faster each day. This means that even if you spend the same amount each season, not using Archmage might mean missing out on a chance to make your account better for free, at a rate of 18% every day.

In short, choosing Archmage, based on your numbers, could mean you'll grow your earnings faster over time.