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RE: The Epic conclusions: XBOT vs. Archmage in the era of rebellion

in Splinterlands9 months ago (edited)

Thanks for the review. I'm sure this took a lot of work!

It's nice to see an independent side-by-side comparison but there's a huge amount of randomness involved and the sample size is tiny. It's 1 account for 1 season only.

Looking at your account's card value, it's almost 50% Rebellion cards, which is very uncommon in my experience. Most of our users have few or no Rebellion cards due to them being new & less cost-effective. That makes you account's collection unique and not representative for the average player.

I think the best advice to give undecided players is to try out both services. The good news is that XBOT has a free 7 day trial, so you have nothing to lose by giving it a shot.

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Thanks for the reply! Yeah, this was a fun project and took a decent bit of work.

A few responses:

  1. The sample is much bigger than that. The level of observation isn't really my account, it's each battle (using my account's deck). So it's more like 350+ samples per bot. Which is a really nice sample size for this kind of work.

  2. Yeah, I have more value in Rebellion than most accounts, but not more cards. I only have about 30 Rebellion cards. The value is there because they are GF cards for conflicts. And a large part of doing this experiment now was to see how quickly the bots adapted to new cards being available. I did slightly handicap XBOT by having it first and giving it less time to learn. Restarting XBOT yesterday I'm already seeing more Rebellion usage.

  3. Yup, that's exactly the advice I gave - do this for your own account (because you're right that even though the sample size is large, it's only large for my account). So hopefully people get that takeaway.