Interesting post! Thanks for mentioning me.
I've been converting my Hive for HBD and the other way around a couple of times in the past months. I did it based on my gut feeling, but you have figured this out quite well. Thanks for sharing this information.
I have sold Hive for HBD in parts when the price went up @ $0.34, $0.43 and $0.55.
Then the price went down again. Recently I have been buying back Hive with the price around $0.25 and I'm waiting again for the price to go up again.
Unfortunately it has gone down even more. I'll just have to wait a bit longer and collect some more curation rewards while waiting.
If HIVE < $0.34, I convert HBDs to HIVE;
If HIVE > $0.34, I hoard HBDs while waiting for the price to fall;
The quetion is ... how far from the $ 0.34 are you letting the price go before you sell or buy?
That’s personal. For me, now, it’s a good moment to buy. I do other math ond think are good days to stack up some more HIVE.
But also 0,25 or 0,28 are good. Also 0, 30.
It depends on you.