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RE: Russia-Ukraine faceoff: Why everyone should be concerned

in STEMGeeks3 years ago

I really hope so. But if nuclear countries keep producing presidents like Putin, the future is genuinely bleak.

Mind sharing the two possibilities? I'm curious

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In fact, I discussed the exact same problem with a colleague earlier today. He was not so sure about the outcome. He mentioned that if Putin ends up of having no choice but surrendering, then he may deicde to move on with nuking the world. The reason is that he may prefer having no world over a world without Russia... I am not a big fan of this analysis, but I must admit that this is a possibility.

To satisfy your curiosity, here are my two solutions.

  1. Ukraine loses, and there is simply no more Ukraine as we know it.
  2. Europe helps, and WW-III is there (possibly not nuclear). Then everybody loses, especially civilians (as war only leads to a loss).

What else could it be?

As it is currently, 1 looks more likely unless something significant happens. As long as civilian casualties are minimized, I don't Ukraine is getting helped beyond weapon donations.

As for 2, you are implying that Europe helps by sending troops? I don't think that will happen without NATO getting involved. No European country will take a unilateral decision to send troops to Ukraine.

By #2, I actually considered a NATO operation. The shortcut was a bit abusive, I agree.

Concerning #1, it may take time and there, civilians will pay a high price. However, they already do in particular as they are shelled regardless of what they do by Russians. So... there is nothing looking bright through the window...