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Recent analyses reveal that the Russian military, with its significant airpower concentrated in Syria, is facing challenges in sustaining its influence. The presence of multiple Russian fighter jets and helicopters at strategic bases highlights Russia's military commitment; however, the effectiveness of these assets is being questioned. There have been reports of Russian aviation struggling to successfully target rebel positions, leading to increased scrutiny over Russia's ability to project power in the region without undermining its domestic capabilities.
As Russian attention remains divided due to the ongoing conflict in Ukraine, analysts predict that Moscow's loss of influence in Syria could have broader implications for its military strategy in Africa and the Middle East.