Part 5/8:
Entering the 2025 elections, polls indicated that the CDU was poised to command around 30% support, while the AfD was showing about 20%. Conversely, the SPD was forecasted at around 15%, followed by the Greens and the BW with lower percentages. The threshold for parliamentary representation is 5%, making the FDP's and BW's performance critical to the possible coalition formations.
In the end, the polls largely aligned with the actual results: the CDU secured 28.5% of the vote, marking a 4 percentage point rise from 2021. The AfD finished strongly at 20.8%, its best outcome to date. The SPD obtained just 16.4%, a dismal result for the party, while the Greens witnessed a decline to 11.6%. The left party received a surprising 8.8%, ensuring its place in political discussions.