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Forecasting the 2025 race, projections suggest that Crawford could secure around 1 million votes, while Shiml may receive approximately 892,000 votes—establishing a projected margin of approximately 110,000 votes in favor of Crawford. Essentially, these projections show a Crawford +5.79 outcome, which is significant given the history of competitive races in Wisconsin.
Geographically, there are notable shifts, with some areas trending towards the Democratic column that have historically leaned Republican. Many rural regions have shown reduced support for Shiml compared to previous elections, indicating a potential collapse of traditional Republican strongholds.