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However, not everyone agrees that AI progress is hitting a wall. Sam Altman, the CEO of OpenAI, argues that there is no wall and that the AI field is advancing rapidly. Some researchers who have left OpenAI, concerned about safety, also disagree with the idea of a slowdown, saying the technology is progressing quickly and that caution is needed.
On the other hand, Gary Marcus, a vocal critic of deep learning, is ecstatic about the potential slowdown, seeing it as a validation of his warnings about the limitations of the technology.
Breakthroughs and Benchmarks
The article highlights several recent AI breakthroughs, such as AlphaFold 3, AlphaProtein, and AI systems outperforming humans on complex tasks like the International Mathematical Olympiad. It also discusses the Arc AGI benchmark, which is designed to be challenging for large language models and test their true reasoning abilities.
The Future of AI Scaling
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