Part 6/7:
The long-term future of Russia raises serious questions about its national cohesion and ability to maintain a state. Peter Z projects that under successful conditions—like winning the war against Ukraine—demographic stability might be achievable by the 2070s or 2080s. However, if military operations stall or lead to significant defeat, the coherence of the Russian populace could diminish drastically, potentially leading to state instability even sooner.
The implications of continued military aggression with limited population resources present a paradoxical situation. While aggressive tactics might provide short-term benefits in the context of war, they simultaneously erode the fundamental human resources that sustain Russia as a power.