Part 3/11:
He pointed out that such predictions are similar to the earlier forecasts that the internet would revolutionize everyday life and commerce. However, he acknowledged that projecting AI’s capabilities further into the future brings increasing uncertainty and raises critical questions about potential limits in AI based on current paradigms.
Limits and Bottlenecks in AI
Aaronson suggested that there might be real limits to AI's growth, highlighting concerns over training data availability and computational resources. While acknowledging that much of the public Internet has been utilized, he pointed out that many platforms remain untapped. Nonetheless, he raised the possibility that overloading AI systems with data could lead to diminished performance rather than improvements.